Pablo Nagel has a good FB post on this. It's
why I frame the way I do, using what might be considered course and
low-brow language from the POV of the highly educated and/or
developmentally inclined. That's the language of the rust belt workers
who flipped their votes and it gets through to them. I'm not framing for
the smart or elite, or to show off my superior developmental level. The latter is how you turn off such voters and get Dump re-elected.
For those that don't use FB, he said:
How *not* to get Trump re-elected:
Well, let’s look at how he was elected in 2016. What can we learn? Fact:
Rust belt votes, lots of them (millions and millions, around 10 mil)
that twice went to Obama in 08 and 12 went to Trump instead of Clinton
in 2016. This is per numerous county by county exit polls and election
results. (See links in comments). If they voted twice or once for
Obama they aren’t racists. Had Sanders been the nominee these former
Obama voters who swung to Trump may well have gone to him, and that’s
not speculation, given that Sanders performed excellently in the Midwest
in the primaries . This rust belt swing in the general election from
Obama to Trump, bypassing Clinton, was the deciding factor
demographically for the entire election. It was the fatal blow. The
whole election, the very close national popular vote in 2016 came down
to the rust belt and Clinton’s massive failure there to hold the Obama
voters who swung. The point is, there are many non racist voters there
for the taking back in 2020 if liberals stop and Dem party stops
sounding like Clinton and starts sounding more like Sanders, ie, with a
more populist and class based approach appealing to the working class
and the underclass and the poor everywhere, and appealing less to
educated elites who feel they and only they are entitled to don the
mantle of virtue. A lot of folks out there will vote progressive
populist /new deal/FDR type politics if you give them half a chance.
Progressive populism (not to be confused with regressive or right wing
populism a la trump and Brexit, but a left wing populism a la Sanders
and Corbyn (who are themselves flawed but at least for starters may be
seen as representatives of progressive populism), that is, a progressive
populism that focuses on socio economics and the suffering of the
immiserated everywhere, a campaign cutting across fixed party and
ideology lines, a trans-ethnic appeal to the immiserated plight of the
person suffering below, whether they are black, brown, or white, whether
they are on the border, the heartland, or the cities. You create a
common appeal based on socio-economics instead of culture war. That I
think is how you don’t get Trump re-elected.”
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