538 on the new equilibrium

In this article they suggest it's likely that Clinton's now 7 point lead will be the new equilibrium. It was pretty much this before the conventions and has returned to this benchmark. They discuss how they arrived at this prediction based on good data and polls. They've been the most accurate predictors so I hope they are right. Their regularly updated forecast is here, Clinton with now a 66% chance of winning. Some key States have now shifted slightly toward Clinton, like FL, OH, PA, MI, MN and WI.