More analysis from 538

See this article, which now includes demographics into the formula. Much as I hate to admit it, the math just isn't there for Sanders. Even if he wins narrowly in some states like OH, IL and MO, since the delegates are apportioned his delegate count gap with Clinton will continue to grow because she wins much more significantly in other states.


I still encourage Sanders to continue to the bitter end though, because his delegate count will still be significant enough to get his issues into the Democratic platform. And if the movement keeps going strong after Clinton's coronation perhaps we can hold her feet to the fire on keeping her campaign promises for the agenda Sanders represents.